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Kudlow says economy will boost GOP

“The confidence indices are telling a very important story and POTUS is polling in the low to mid-fifties on the economy,” Kudlow said just before returning to the White House after some time off. “The great blue wall has crashed. I think GOP will lose seats but keep the House.”

Republicans are counting on faster growth and a low jobless rate to help them hold off expected Democratic gains in swing districts where Trump polls poorly. The party needs a net gain of 23 seats to regain the House.

But so far, the economy has not played a major role in special elections, with Republican candidates talking more about guns, immigration and other hot button social issues while painting Democrats as liberal extremists.

Trump himself often touts strong economic numbers — including the second quarter growth rate of 4.1 percent — but also gets repeatedly sidetracked by the Russia investigation and stories like former top aide Omarosa Manigault Newman’s new tell-all book. Republicans also have to deal with a tax cut bill, H.R. 1 (115) , that focused on lowering corporate rates and remains widely unpopular with the public. A poll in June by POLITICO and Morning Consult found that just 37 percent of voters supported the tax cut, down from 44 percent in April.