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Roughly shows how banks and rating agencies are/were working together. Original video at: www.youtube.com First uploaded by: www.youtube.com First ...

Barone: Is the economy's best growth now in the rear-view mirror?

While Q2’s growth will be the best we’ve seen since at least 2014, one should be troubled by the non-confirmations of the equity and fixed income markets. Market watchers have blamed much of the downdraft in the equity market on White House tariff and trade actions. No doubt, the tariff issue has had an impact, but that doesn’t explain why long-term interest rates refuse to rise, even in the face of the Fed’s increasingly hawkish positioning. Maybe bond investors see the possibility of slower growth or even a possible recession ahead. And maybe that is what equity investors see, too.

Is this the goldilocks economy, or what?

As Q2 ends and Q3 begins, the economy is expanding at the fastest rate in at least four years, and at the end of July, the Commerce Department may report Q2 GDP growth in the 3.5 percent-4.0 percent range. For the first time in this century, there are more jobs available than there are people looking, and the unemployment rate of 3.8 percent may well go lower. Corporate profits are up 17 percent. Wages are now rising at a 3 percent+ rate, and retail sales, of late, appear to be solid. Given this data, isn’t this the Goldilocks economy we’ve been chasing since the last recession?

Opinion: Investors can get 5%-plus yields without waiting for more Fed interest-rate increases

Has edged slightly higher this week around the Fed’s move. But a little history lesson is in order, because the reality is that even this “hawkish” positioning from the Federal Reserve has a long way to go before it puts us back in the land of normalized monetary policy and interest rates.

Consider that the 50-year average for the benchmark fed funds rate is about 5.3%, roughly three times the low-end of the current range. And while the latest increase continues to take us farther from ZIRP, it only puts us a hair above prior lows set briefly back at the end of 2003.

Of course, folks who rely on interest-bearing assets like bonds or CDs for income don’t need this history lesson. They’ve been suffering through with 2% or 3% rates for almost a decade now in everything from investment-grade corporates to Treasury notes.

As the Fed raises rates off the bottom, then, investors have two options.

The first is that they can continue to hang tight and wait for the Fed to slowly push rates higher, and hope that eventually it will translate to better yields.

If Obama really wants to get Iran, why not send Morgan Stanley over to show them how to make money?

They could do the same thing to Iran that they did to Iceland.
Tell them that they will trade them the revenue stream from Mortgage Backed Securities which are rated AAA by Moody and the S&P in exchange for their oil revenue.

коды Жертвоприношение . Хочу купить диплом колледжа 1996-2002 годов.